Are U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and U.S. National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan finally listening to their European counterparts and advocating for a softer approach on China? Most notably, Trump has racked up endorsements from more than 50 members of Congress, including 11 from Floridas delegation, to DeSantis three. Analysis: Mexican president's looming election win masks - Reuters He said the president was right to oppose U.S. calls to designate Mexican drug cartels as terrorist organizations or to use the U.S. military to crack down on the gangs. Language links are at the top of the page across from the title. There has been an influx of national firms in town over the last few days, said one of the Florida Republican operatives familiar with the meetings. It has been a total failure, said Juan Romero Hicks, a congressman with the opposition National Action Party in a video message posted shortly after polls closed. Delivered Wednesday & Sunday. Yes and no. The presidents critics pointed to the low overall turnout as anything but a mandate for Mr. Lpez Obrador and his efforts to transform the country. The I.N.E. He campaigned on Hugs, Not Bullets. Now, hes militarized the country. Essential analysis of the stories shaping geopolitics on the continent. Mexicowhich has only held what are considered free and fair elections since 2000, when Vicente Fox was elected president with the National Action Party (PAN)is a democracy in diapers, Castaeda said. ', Trump at CPAC says indictment wouldn't push him out of 2024 race, A special counsel investigating Donald Trump, confirmed by most mainstream media outlets, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy, Have lived in the U.S. for at least fourteen years. Ebrard has his own political profile that, contrary to Sheinbaum or Augusto Lpez, wasnt built around AMLO. e General elections are scheduled to be held in Mexico in July 2024. The problem is that even though Augusto Lpez runs the countrys second most important office in AMLOs cabinet, he is little known at the national level. So while a lot of time over the next two and a half years will be spent looking at potential candidates records and characters in all of the parties, it may not really matter. On June 6, Mexicans elect all 500 members of the Chamber of Deputies, 15 governors, and local officials in 30 of 32 states in the single-round vote. If you find an error, please let us know. MEXICO CITY, Feb 22 (Reuters) - Mexican lawmakers on Wednesday approved a controversial overhaul of the body overseeing the country's elections, a move critics warn will weaken democracy. The Constitution spells outjust three requirements to hold the presidency. Morena has something to offer for most of the population. With Morena in power, the rich may not see economic prosperity, but they are not personally suffering, so it does not matter to the rich in the end game if Morena wins or loses. ', Stay up to date on political news: Sign up for our OnPolitics newsletter. "Ive been focused on this mission that weve been doing. Now, he has his sights set on Mexicos fragile democracy. Coming out of the referendum, the president and his backers will be able to point to the overwhelming support for Mr. Lpez Obrador and his political project among his base, even at a moment of weakness. But they will likely have the opposite effect and help usher Lpez Obradors preferred successor into office. After that, the party's candidate is likely to take center stage. The president has launched attacks on the electoral institute (INE), which has guaranteed free and fair elections over the past 20 years, including the one AMLO himself won in 2018. But the changes signal Lpez Obradors nostalgia for his own days in the PRI and a yearning for one-party rule, said Juan Cruz, former senior director for Western Hemisphere affairs at the National Security Council in the Trump administration. The reforms arent a done deal yet: The Mexican Supreme Court still has a say. Official campaigning starts April 4. There has been a long trend of really significant anti-democratic instincts in Lpez Obrador, said Thomas Carothers, co-director of the Democracy, Conflict, and Governance Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. If, on the other hand, the middle class stays home on election day, Morena will remain in power, at least at the executive branch, for another six years. In a moment that went viral, DeSantis was visibly unnerved by the questions and seemed unable to respond in a way that appeared prepared. She was elected mayor as a feminist with a progressive agenda, but in trying to please AMLO, Sheinbaum has changed her tune, initially dismissing feminist street protests (an attitude in line with the presidents approach to discontent with his government). The process to nominate a presidential candidate for his Morena party will begin later this year. But some of DeSantis allies have started to question his readiness as his poll numbers have lagged and he has fell victim to a series of self-inflicted wounds. [8], Despite being planned for 2021, the constitutional changes stipulated its realization one year later, in 2022. As the next presidential elections draw nearer, the broader backdrop is discouraging. Our countries are not isolated islands,. The day marks the new president of Mexico taking office. He rose quickly through the conservative national ranks by taking a hands-off approach to the pandemic and placing Florida on the vanguard of conservatives biggest culture war fights. MEXICO CITY Mexico is holding a first-of-its-kind presidential recall referendum this Sunday. The undisputed winner, beyond the war of figures and narratives, is the I.N.E., said Carlos Bravo Regidor, a political analyst. But is Washingtons China policy shifting? One-stop digest of politics, economics, and culture. They are also a signal to the Supreme Court that there is strong public opposition against the reforms. Evening roundup with our editors favorite stories of the day. The reforms, spearheaded by Lpez Obrador, would slash the agencys budget, shrink civil service staffing, and strip the agencys independence ahead of the 2024 presidential elections. If Erdogan loses, will there be a peaceful transition of power? This is a process, that will take 30, 40 years. Delivered Friday. Such is the case with Ricardo Anaya of the Partido de Accin Nacional (PAN), who ended up in second place to AMLO in 2018. The meetings come at a precarious national moment for DeSantis. People from Morena itself have said that they know its unconstitutional, but they dont care. Emmanuel Macron served Xi Jinping a strategic triumph on a silver platter. The Current One Has Too Much to Say, certainly seems to collaborate the fact that Lpez Obradors National Regeneration Movement (Morena) party fears losing control of the presidency in the July 7, 2024 vote, as happened in the 2021 midterm elections, when Morena lost control over the lower house Chamber of Deputies. Mexico City Mayor Claudia Sheinbaum, left, and Secretary of the Interior Adn Augusto Lpez, pictured in September 2021. o get tough on Beijing. .Ultra MAGA-Sinner. - Twitter The fact that more than 16 million people turned out to cast their ballots could also work in the presidents favor, analysts said. Some of these polls asked if the respondents approved of the president, not necessarily their stance on the referendum. On the one hand, supporters of U.S. President Joe Biden point out that his White House has overseen a dramatic U-turn from the Show moredays of the Trump administration in terms of promoting decarbonization and clean energy and should be lauded for passing the (admittedly strangely titled) Inflation Reduction Act. Were going to end up making it pretty much around the world by the time were done. Ron DeSantis is set to jump into the 2024 presidential fray in mid-May President Andrs Manuel Lpez Obrador drew overwhelming support among those who cast ballots, but the recall referendum failed to achieve the required 40 percent threshold to be binding. : 3 clues to track and his approval rating isn't one of them. Still, in a hemisphere that has seen leaders rise to power through charismatic leadership and populistic ideals only to reveal their authoritarian intentions and machinations down the line, theres reason to be cautious, Berthin said. But while turnout was low, it was stronger than some analysts had expected, which may strengthen the institutes reputation and insulate it from further attacks from the president and his party. Moreover, residents in eight states and in Mexico City will cast their votes for governors. DeSantis is the only Republican who can beat Trump. He was accused of violating an electoral tribunal prohibition on government officials campaigning for a recall vote in April by using a military plane to fly to the north of Mexico to speak about the vote. Are U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and U.S. National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan finally listening to their European counterparts and advocating for a softer approach on China? For most of the past decade, Crdova has served as . A pugnacious leftist, Lpez Obrador was the architect of the first so-called recall referendum in modern Mexico, describing it as vital to confirm his democratic mandate. Hosted by Sabrina Tavernise. The final outcome may yet alter the political mood in Mexico, showing the president and his party which parts of the country, and which potential successors, will be most important to securing the presidency in 2024. [5] In October of the same year, the Mexican Senate approved the recall election in general, with 98 votes in favor, 22 against, and one abstention. Explore the benefits of your FP subscription. A poster supporting President Andrs Manuel Lpez Obrador near the Metropolitan Cathedral in the historic center in Mexico City. Reporters asked DeSantis about his lagging poll numbers. The discussion with former secretary of state Kerry serves as a preview to FPs annual climate summit. Millions of Mexicans vote for their next president, as well as deputies and senators, on general election day. iStockphoto.com/Vepar5 Observe General Election Day Millions of Mexicans vote for their next president, as well as deputies and senators, on general election day. [1], The President is elected by first-past-the-post voting. The synthetic opioid fentanyl, which kills about 70,000 Americans per year, is mainly manufactured in Mexico with precursor chemicals smuggled in from China. Here's why Mexico's president is launching a vote to recall himself Neither Sheinbaum nor Ebrard are particularly loved by the masses, but AMLOs popularity remains consistently high, so his blessing means everything. Please follow our comment guidelines, stay on topic, and be civil, courteous, and respectful of others beliefs. They discussed the IRA, cooperation with China, and this years forthcoming Conference of Parties climate summit in Dubai. Although Ebrard has been a loyal Lpez Obrador follower since the early days of his presidency, interestingly he is not registered officially within the Morena party. From rubies in Mozambique to sand in the South China Sea. A launch in mid-May would help alleviate growing frustrations among potential supporters who are concerned that DeSantis risks squandering the momentum that had made him so attractive as a Trump alternative in the first place. Approval Tracker: Mexico's President AMLO | AS/COA In weakening democratic institutions, incumbents across the Americas in recent elections have made desperate attempts to strengthen or perpetuate their grasps on power. Ricardo Monreal, the highest-ranking senator from MORENA also has ambitions to be the partys presidential candidatebut he wasnt invited. In the lead-up to the 2024 elections, the recall vote has served as an opportunity to fire up his base in key battlegrounds. Our new issue explores the consequences for climate change, trade, the China-U.S. competition and more. Mexicans will vote to fill more than 20,000 posts. 26 Apr 2023 17:59:59 But with President Andrs Manuel Lpez Obradors popularity still high and the opposition largely boycotting the event, the results of the referendum were almost assured. FP contributors top titles to make sense of the country ahead of its most important election, Report: Lpez Obradors gambit is the latest in a line of incumbent power grabs in the hemisphere, including insurrections and doubt about electoral integrity stoked by former U.S. President Donald Trump and former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, former Peruvian President Pedro Castillos attempt to dissolve Congress late last year, and El Salvadorian President Nayib Bukeles widespread. But theres also an important strand of criticism from economists arguing that however well-meaning the Biden administrations policies may be, they are destined to backfire because they are essentially protectionist and could lead to a dangerous subsidies race. Lopez Obrador's successor is scheduled to be elected in June 2024. In fact, before presidents were limited to eight years in office,President Franklin D. Roosevelt was elected four times. Others in the governors orbit, however, have argued that that date would be too soon, according to two of those sources. Among the worst-performing countries in the region are Venezuela, Nicaragua, Cuba, and most recently, Haiti. And I think what is happening right now in Mexico, which is not an isolated case, there are a lot of links with what is happening in American democracy, or Brazilian democracy, or even in other parts of the world., The latest reforms were plan B, following a failed attempt at a sweeping, last December that sought even more extreme measures to restrict electoral agencies and remove their independence. Usernames may be updated at any time and must not contain inappropriate or offensive language. The vote has flummoxed even some of DeSantis closest Republican supporters, who say a focus on things like Walt Disney World are hurting him in the polls and with prospective supporters. We, as Mexicans, were worried about what was happening in Brazilthe largest democracy in Latin Americabecause we are aware of a domino effect. Lpez Obradors gambit is the latest in a line of incumbent power grabs in the hemisphere, including insurrections and doubt about electoral integrity stoked by former U.S. President Donald Trump and former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, former Peruvian President Pedro Castillos attempt to dissolve Congress late last year, and El Salvadorian President Nayib Bukeles widespread undermining of democratic controls. The governing Morena party was expected to hold between 190 and 203 seats in Mexico's lower house of Congress, a decline of up to 60 lawmakers, according to preliminary results released late on. The Race Begins for Mexico's Next President Washington Post, which admittedly is not a great fan of AMLO, titled Who Will Be Mexicos Next President? Nikki Haley, andVivek Ramaswamy, a wealthy biotech entrepreneur have also thrown their hat in the ring. Leading the polls is the highly capable Marcelo Ebrard. El sexenio de Lpez Obrador durar poco menos de 6 aos y la causa de esto, no es un 'complot', ms bien se debe a que as lo establece la ley en materia poltica-electoral tras una reforma aprobada el 10 de febrero de 2014 . A hint came one week after the June elections, when President Andrs Manuel Lpez Obradors party held a huge rally in Mexico state, where the governorship is up for grabs next year. Mexican president wins 90% backing in leadership vote he sought One of Lpez Obrador's main policy initiatives has been to save the state-owned oil company that Crdenas founded from crushing debt and low oil production. AMERICAS SOCIETY/COUNCIL OF THE AMERICAS. Mexicans living overseas can vote if they have fulfilled the correct legal procedures. General elections are scheduled to be held in Mexico in July 2024. This is a list of presidents of the United States by time in office.The listed number of days is calculated as the difference between dates, which counts the number of calendar days except the last day. National Institute for Statistics and Geography. Even some non-aligned countries have cautiously signaled support. Download the new FP mobile app to read anytime, anywhere. Language links are at the top of the page across from the title. [3], The 128 members of the Senate are also elected by two methods, with 96 elected in 32 three-seat constituencies based on the states and 32 elected in a single nationwide constituency by proportional representation. Nine out of ten Mexicans voting on Sunday in an unprecedented recall election engineered by President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador backed him to stay in office, underlining his . in a situation where it cannot fulfill its duties, said Lorenzo Crdova, the leader of the electoral agency. [5] A candidacy by Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas, son of former presidential candidate Luis Donaldo Colosio Murrieta, has been floated around by the media.[5]. Join FPs Ravi Agrawal for a discussion with FP columnist Steven A. Cook and Gonul Tol, the founding director of the Turkey program at the Middle East Institute. In contrast, the president and other government figures assured that the organization did have the appropriate money. List of presidents of Mexico | Britannica Mexican presidential front-runner Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador heads into Sunday's watershed election with a substantial lead in the polls and the hopes of a country disenchanted with . And the Morena government knows far too well that it cannot control the middle class, because that group has not gotten anything out of the AMLO administration, unless substandard public schools, overcrowded and underfunded health care, and a weakened buying power constitute a benefit. On June 5, 2022, Mexico held gubernatorial elections in six states: Durango, Tamaulipas, Aguascalientes, Hidalgo, Oaxaca, and Quintana Roo. MEXICO CITY (AP) Four candidates are in the race to become Mexico's next president in Sunday's election. But is Washingtons China policy shifting? U.S. legal . On Sunday, almost 18 percent of the electorate cast their ballot, far less than was needed for the result to become binding, making the outcome largely symbolic. "Let's finish this job I know we can," Biden says in the clip. Brazil was able to regain its democratic footing following Bolsonaros aborted insurrection on Jan. 8. Lpez Obrador, whose grievances with the INE date back to his failed 2006 and 2012 presidential bids, said these changes would guarantee clean and free elections. Mexicos Senate approveda legislative overhaul of Mexicos National Electoral Institute (INE) in late February. Presidential elections and congressionalmidterm elections are always held in even numberedyears (e.g. The backsliding would be returning to something where you guarantee that you close a space for opposition parties, Cruz said. ), Poll shows Trump lagging: Donald Trumps Republican support erodes in Iowa, even as many remain committed, Republican loyalty pledge: RNC chair says 2024 GOP candidates must sign pledge to participate in debates. The citys mayor, Claudia Sheinbaum, a member of his party, is widely assumed to be among the likeliest contenders for the nations top job after Mr. Lpez Obradors term is up. Voters will elect a new president to serve a six-year term, 500 members of the Chamber of Deputies and 128 members of the Senate. As a subscriber, you have 10 gift articles to give each month. Mexico Voters Back Lpez Obrador to Stay in Office in Recall Election Matt Dixon is a senior national politics reporter for NBC News, based in Florida. 2022 Mexican presidential recall referendum - Wikipedia Sunday's elections were the. There are signs AMLO will go to great lengths to have a successor elected. To be valid, the recall must be approved by an absolute majority of valid votes, and the turnout must be at least 40%. Delivered Thursday. AMLO is hoping for his successor to continue his political programknown as the Fourth Transformationeven though with two years left in his presidency, his hoped-for legacy on combating poverty and inequality seems thin. Jan. 8. And here is why: If the middle classes come out in mass to vote, AMLOs party will lose, especially since the president has repeatedly taken aim at the countrys middle class, accusing them of being ambitious, selfish and determined to succeed at any cost.. By signing up, I agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms of Use and to occasionally receive special offers from Foreign Policy. His campaign has filedpaperwork with the Federal Election Commission confirming those plans. With the INE reforms, Lpez Obrador is making it easier for incumbents and their parties, like his Morena coalition, as well as other groups to challenge electoral outcomes if they dont like them, Rudman said. Gov. The INE, which started preparations in August 2021,stated that there was a lack of resources for the consultation organization, causing it to challenge the budget approved by the Chamber of Deputies and ask the Supreme Court of Justice of the Nation for their stance. No party is allowed to hold more than 300 seats. But the next three weeks could be among the most crucial in shaping the contours of the U.S. presidential race. . We are going to continue with the transformation of our country.. Another contender facing pressure from AMLOs allies is the president of the Partido Revolucionario Institucional (PRI), Alejandro Moreno. The next presidential election will mark America's 60th presidential contest. Mexicos middle class, disenfranchised by the political system, including some of whom did vote for AMLO last time around, are now saying, What do I get from my government? There are more than 1,900 mayoral contests and local . 1. In a clear sign of movement on the campaign front, national political vendors descended on Tallahassee this week, vying for work on DeSantis forthcoming campaign. The worry is that these reformsthe presidents second bite at the applesignal a larger trend away from the democratic system that has dominated in Mexico for more than two decades, making voting more difficult and reducing trust in elections.
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